The day before, announced the licensing of automobile and motorcycle, car manufacturers and products Ministry website (301st batch) "and promote the application of new energy vehicles recommended models directory" (referred to as the "recommended directory") (2017 tenth).

The tenth batch of "recommended catalog" has 85 enterprises of 159 models list. Among them, 84 enterprises involved in 155 pure electric vehicles, 3 plug-in hybrid models list. From the model point of view, the "recommended directory" 22 passenger cars, buses 59, special vehicles 78.

This year, the Ministry of industry has issued a total of 10 batches of recommended models catalog, a total of 2949 models. China's new energy automotive industry has never been reduced, in addition to the rapid development of commercial vehicle enterprises to develop new energy products, the enthusiasm of enterprises outside the industry to join the ranks of new energy vehicles.

In the new energy bus to return to rational

"China Automotive newspaper" reporter combed the first 10 batches of the "recommended directory" situation, found that the overall number of new energy vehicles is "low at both ends, the middle high" trend.

In 2017, the number of recommended 1~3 batches showed an upward trend, the third batch was the turning point from prosperity to decline, and then the fourth to the 6 batch showed a downward trend. After the Sixth Batch, the number of recommendations has rebounded, but did not appear the third batch of 634 models of the highest value, but slowly upward trend. The tenth batch of "recommended catalogue" model number is the lowest value this year.

According to the analysis of the industry, with the introduction of new energy vehicles subsidy policy by the end of 2016, bus companies actively develop new energy buses meeting the standards, the new car in the battery, motor and other hardware and security aspects have been significantly improved.  Therefore, the number of new energy buses increased, driving the growth of the third batch of new energy vehicles.

Fourth to 6 batches of new energy vehicles decreased, or with the July 1st "new energy automobile production enterprises and product access management regulations" (referred to as "Regulations") implementation. It is understood that the "Regulations" to establish "stop" system, the production of new energy vehicles enterprises if there are serious problems such as safety, quality, should immediately stop production, sales and rectification, thus affecting the 3 batch of new energy vehicles on the list of total.

The 7~10 batch of new energy vehicles decreased, indicating that China's new energy automotive market tends to be rational. For nearly a year, car prices and busy impulse sales performance, the tenth batch of the number of models dropped to the lowest level ever this year. Therefore, the industry forecast, excluding the policy and other external factors, the next two months, the number of models will remain downward trend.

The number of models from the trend this year 1 ~ 10 batch of "recommended directory" types, passenger car change trend is not obvious, in a flat state, the new energy bus industry dropped in the third batch of large increase, and characteristics of special vehicle is a wave shaped, slightly undulating. This shows that the new energy bus recommended quantity changes, causing the whole new energy vehicles recommended quantity fluctuations. And the recommended number of new energy buses, also from the beginning of the low base to reach the peak, showing a downward trend. Therefore, this also shows that the new energy bus industry tends to rational return, enterprises pay more attention to product quality and brand, rather than blindly pursue new models.

In the new energy vehicle market to be developed

In the recommended catalogue, the proportion of new energy buses is the largest. According to the "China Automotive newspaper" reporter statistics, in the first 10 batches of the "recommended directory", new energy buses a total of 1699 models, accounting for 57.63%; the total number of new energy vehicles for 903 models, accounting for 30.63%. It is worth noting that the industry generally predicted that the number of new energy special vehicles will gradually exceed the new energy buses, becoming the largest proportion of models.

From the trend of new energy vehicles in the first 10 batches of the first batch of the first batch of the year, we can see that the new energy special vehicle increased from the initial 19.46% to 49.05% now, showing a significant upward trend. Industry insiders believe that with the rapid development of the express industry, logistics vehicle market opened further, and under the support of the policy, the city special purpose vehicle market is further expanded. National Passenger Car Association Secretary General Cui Dongshu said, the new energy vehicle power consumption per hundred kilometers is about 25 degrees, the amount of the battery is two times the passenger car, driving mileage continued especially transport vehicles, logistics enterprises in the national implementation of energy-saving emission reduction policy environment, improve the transportation structure is very good choose.

The special purpose vehicle market is the treasure that needs to be developed, and it is a hot spot in the near future and in the future. According to Cui Dongshu introduction, Ningbo Shanshan, Anhui Xinsheng and Shanxi Royal Prime Minister's palace and other aerospace companies began the layout of the new energy vehicle market.

- car prices accelerated the layout of new energy

According to the "China Automotive newspaper" reporter statistics, since 2015, the new energy vehicles recommended catalog models are 1857, 2198, 2949, the overall number is gradually rising trend.

From 2015~2017 years of "recommended catalog" various types of new energy vehicles trends, in addition to 2016, the number of new energy vehicle models have declined, the number of these three types of vehicles have increased. Analysis of the industry, which reflects the overall trend of the development of new energy vehicles. According to statistics, during the 2015~2017 years (the total number of the first 10 batches in 2017), the growth rate of recommended cars for new energy passenger cars is 174.60%, 33.50% and 97.17% respectively.

In the new energy special vehicle, the recommended catalogue is mainly van van, which accounts for the absolute proportion, less special vehicles for environmental sanitation, postal and other special purposes. In addition, the new energy vehicle manufacturers are also actively declare directory, since this year, Anqing Andaer, Geely commercial vehicles, Beiqi Silver Cheung, Wuhu Bao, Shandong Ji Hai, Lotus Cars, Zhengzhou Nissan, Jiangxi Yichun, Sichuan new building, Beiqi shares, Shenyang, Hualong, Beijing FAW bus and field modification, Longhua Heilongjiang the enterprise has for the first time to enter the "recommended directory", began the layout of the new energy vehicle market.

Article source "Sina automobile 2017-11-27, science and technology elements"